The GBP/USD currency option is going at 1:4000. You place the call option of $100 which will expire in 30 minutes. The payout is 70% and 15% if you lose. In the first 15 minutes the asset is at 1:4015 which is good so far. At this specific time, you buy a put option for the same asset at 1:4015 expiring in 15 minutes at $100. The payouts are the same as those of the call option.
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This approach is time-consuming (traders end up being glued in front of their trading screens) and exhausting (they’ll focus on not missing even a swing). Scalpers use lower time frames, the one-second, one-minute and even five-minute charts. While for the Forex trading industry this still makes a bit of sense because of the higher risk-reward ratios that can be used, for the binary options industry this is a deadly approach for the trading account.
The current bid and offer is $74.00 and $80.00, respectively. If you think the index will be above $3,784 at 11 a.m., you buy the binary option at $80 (or place a bid at a lower price and hope someone sells to you at that price). If you the think the index will be below $3,784 at that time, you sell at $74.00 (or place an offer above that price and hope someone buys it from you).
I found this correspondence especially fascinating because the writer is a professional online poker player—a gambler by trade. Yet here he is trying to convince his dad that online gambling is a bad thing. I agree, it is. But it's understandable if the father is skeptical about advice from a son who does the same sort of thing, albeit in a different form.
"I'm looking for a way to definitively convince him to stop and that his edge isn't as great as it seems. I tried talking to him multiple times about the subject but I'm not as knowledgeable about the field and ultimately that becomes my shortcoming when trying to convince him why he shouldn't continue to be involved with this. Any help would certainly be appreciated."
A retail trader involved in binary trading cannot be an investor. I mean, if you’re willing to put your money on hold for several months or even years, there are other markets you can trade. However, as mentioned earlier in this article, retail traders have little or no chances to make it with short-term expiration dates binary options. In other words, the right path is somewhere in the middle.
In the Black–Scholes model, the price of the option can be found by the formulas below. In fact, the Black–Scholes formula for the price of a vanilla call option (or put option) can be interpreted by decomposing a call option into an asset-or-nothing call option minus a cash-or-nothing call option, and similarly for a put – the binary options are easier to analyze, and correspond to the two terms in the Black–Scholes formula.